Each month [1] for the rest of the year, https://experiencemachines.substack.com/ must post at least twice.
One post must be a links roundup with at least 10 links; the other post(s) must be at least 700 words long. The market will resolve early if a given month passes without those conditions being satisfied.
I will only buy YES. It's a pretty ambitious goal - see if you can earn some money from my overconfidence.
Reasons to vote NO:
-most bloggers don't maintain a regular posting habit
-previous year I came extremely close to failing a similar goal several times
-I'm going to bet this market irrationally high
-my substack is not a primary work or life priority--I am now running an org--so I might rationally de-prioritize it
[1] end of month according to the time zone I'm posting from, which has been, and will likely continue to be, US Pacific Time. Depending on where you are, Substack might show something as having been posted after the end of the month. But if you subscribe (wink wink) you'll be able to know what time the email went out, and bet accordingly.
1,000
1.00@PhilosophyBear Doesn't look like it. Robert posted:
- Things I read and liked in May on May 31s at 9:01pm Pacific Time
- Machines of Loving Bliss on May 31st at 11:57 pm (!) Pacific Time
and it looks like the emails went out close to those times, but still before midnight for the second.
@PhilosophyBear what Ollie said. see the footnote clarification in the description - but sorry for the confusion. of course, the confusion could be avoided if I stop going for such buzzer-beater posting times. but I'm not sure that will end any time soon...