Will there be a manned outer planets mission before 2100?
Plus
38
Ṁ17462100
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The outer planets are Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
predicts YES
Are we trying to access if we have the raw capability to send manned missions to the outer planets (my recollection is that NASA almost certainly has the capability to reach least Mars if we really wanted to?)
@Meta_C For this market to resolve "Yes" a manned spacecraft which is intended to orbit one of the outer planets needs to leave Earth. A mission to any of the moons of the outer planets would also count, since they are necessarily in orbit around one of the outer planets.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will there be a manned interstellar mission before 2250?
75% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
72% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?
65% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2070?
43% chance
Will a manned interstellar mission be launched before January 1, 2060?
20% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?
32% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?
27% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?
28% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2060?
27% chance