Question resolves YES if I use text generated by GPT-3 or similar, edited or not, in a professional context (paper, abstract, email, filling out form, grant application, anything) by the end of 2024. (Of course in nearly all such scenarios it would be clearly marked as such.)

If I only look at generated text and then write my own from scratch, that'll be a NO, even if I take ideas from the generated text. A very good heuristic is: only if copy-paste is involved, then this is YES.

An exception: if I use generated text only for the purpose of showcasing generated text (as in prefaced with "look what GPT-N wrote!"), that also doesn't count.

I won't be betting in this market, so you don't have to worry about weird incentives.

Professional context: I do physics research, and that most likely won't change before the end of 2024.