Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?
Plus
7
Ṁ5792030
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Game of Thrones for politics nerds.
I realize that betting on very long term markets isn't well incentivized under the current Manifold system, so I will also pay a few thousand mana to anyone who gives good info in the comments
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Caro's fifth LBJ book be published by end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Luigi Mangione publish a book before 2030?
18% chance
Will I finish reading The Power Broker in 2024?
44% chance
Will Joe Biden publish an autobiography by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
75% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?
51% chance
Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?
16% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
55% chance
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
72% chance
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance