Will xAI receive preferential treatment* by the Trump administration in 2025?
Mini
1
Ṁ152026
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
*Preferential treatment worth at least $1 billion
It must be clearly preferential, not just a $1 billion government contract. But for example, an exclusive contract, important regulatory exemption, or excess subsidies
I will resolve this via a Manifold poll with the above specifications
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
39% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
84% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
15% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
Will xAI overtake OpenAI as the leader in AI research by the end of 2024?
8% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
39% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
37% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Will Trump publicly mention AGI or Superintelligence before 2025?
12% chance