If Trump wins, will RFK Jr. become secretary of health and human services?
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Plus
115
Ṁ94k
Feb 28
71%
chance

Resolves N/A if Trump doesn't win.

Resolves NO if Trump wins and somebody other than RFK assumes the position.

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Gottlieb maintained that there is “skepticism in the Republican caucus [on RFK Jr.’s nomination], more than the press is reporting right now.”

https://archive.is/EYVSZ

Former FDA Director under Trump I

Right now, I think the only actual feasible hurdle to his confirmation is his pro-abortion stance — and even then I haven't seen a single actual Republican in power voice concern suggesting they wouldn't vote for him.

There are plenty of reasons Republicans could justify denying him the position. And if they don't want him in HHS, why would they vote for a recess so Trump can make a recess appointment?

bought Ṁ100 NO

He'd have to both be nominated (already kinda iffy) AND THEN either get confirmed by the Senate (practically impossible), or have Trump put him in as acting (fairly unlikely)

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 80% order

@Marnix No longer fully confident there are enough people willing to stop him. My mother's all in on him. I think he's going through.