Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
Plus
17
αΉ14432029
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at any point before the end of 2028 America is considered "not free" according to Freedom House democracy measure. Resolves NO otherwise.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
16% chance
Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?
27% chance
Will the democracy score for the United States significantly decrease by the end of 2025?
86% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2025?
95% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
83% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
36% chance
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
51% chance