Will Manifold be acquired by Polymarket or Kalshi by end of 2025?
➕
Plus
47
Ṁ4181
2026
15%
chance

Resolves to yes if >50% ownership of Manifold acquired by Kalshi or Polymarket or any of their subsidiaries before 1/1/2026

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

My friend is talking to some cofounders of Manifold and they seem to be going for it. Many people are coming to the Manifold first before the Polymarket to make the decisions and it is a way for keeping it in check. He said discussions are being had but it will take the time for signing.

opened a Ṁ3,000 NO at 40% order

Huge liquidity! 1k NO at 25, 3k at 40, 100k at 50, 150k at 80

reposted

🤔

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@ChrisStructube i love Baccarat, let's play

@strutheo Huh, it just occurred to me I had no idea what Scott Alexander looked like until now