I really like his recent research on unsupervised vision learning.

I will resolve this market based on my opinion in 2030 on if he makes another huge breakthrough

Below are some events that will absolutely resolve this market to YES

• Any of his paper published after 2020 gets > 15k citation (No survey/book)

  • Note: if a big tech releases a SOTA model with his name on it, that paper does not count. (e.g. he puts his name on llama 3 and that paper got 15k citation)

• Found a >$200B AI company with him being chief tech lead or CEO

• Win Turing Award again

• Create a whole new architecture with enough novelty (after 2020), and somebody spend >$100M compute to train it follow his recipe.

Other than those, I will make the final decision

Related:

Will Saining Xie be the next Super Star? (Citation >500k by 2034)