Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028
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10
Ṁ124
2028
62%
chance

This will resolve based on mainstream media reports. Any kind of dementia counts. Outside speculation does not count, unless the evidence is so strong that mainstream media consensus emerges.

https://www.newsweek.com/stop-talking-about-bidens-mental-acuity-start-talking-about-trumps-signs-dementia-opinion-1853741

I do not bet on my markets.

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Is there a version of this for Biden?

@squirrelfish Yes, parallel markets for Joe Biden just created.