Will any Manifold user ever hit a streak of 1000?
➕
Plus
32
Ṁ3685
2050
94%
chance

Resolves YES if/when a user legitimately reaches a daily trading streak of 1000. Resolves NO if the streak feature is permanently sunset, the site shuts down, or it is decided by Manifold admins that this question is no longer relevant.

Otherwise, this question should stay open.

It is irrelevant if the name of the site is still "Manifold" or not.

When will it happen? See:

/Stralor/when-will-a-manifold-user-hit-a-str-1a1b89f594e9

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@Stralor Do we have any idea of what the longest active streak is?

@Kraalnaxx pat's account is deleted but FWIW I believe the longest active streak is @jack 's

@Ziddletwix Which is currently 833 (https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/jack) I've heard that there was an API call to let you order users by streak length, but I can't find it quickly.

@AIBear There used to be some code you could run, but it's stopped working for me. Thanks for making me aware that you can find users individually, though! I have a market with the top 20 users by streak in it, so it seems extremely likely that one of them will be the one to break 1000.

(Note that Streak Forgiveness is a thing, so the exact ordering can change from time to time.)