Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
Plus
57
Ṁ42kresolved Jun 10
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
NOHours
Resolved
NODays
Resolved
NOMinutes
Resolved
NORestaurant Visits
Resolved
NOMarket creations
Resolved
NOUnwashed vegetables
Resolved
NOepisodes of The Daily Show
Resolved
NOholding doors for strangers
Resolved
NOchris (strutheo) markets
Resolved
NONational level elections (globally)
Resolved
NOMarkets created as a Partner
Resolved
NOSpring days
Resolved
NOSoup Memes
Resolved
NOFarm animals pet
Resolved
NOManifold Poker Nights
Resolved
NOass memes
Resolved
N/ARoofies 💊
Resolved
N/ABeers 🍻
Resolved
YESMonths
Resolved
YESYears
Add your own 24x ??s, but please don't ask for proof.
Inspired by the OG drive-by of a market Will I eat ass in the next 24 months?63%
All technicalities qualify:
Donkey meat
the Booty
Cannibalism (of the flank?)
...?
(I have eaten one or more of these and would do again)
Everything resolves from a basis of 26 Feb 2024 CE (continuous interpretation of "in").
As the original was a Personal Goals question, so this one is also asspirational, and I will only bet YES if I bet.
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1,000and
1.00
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@TheAllMemeingEye edible anus counts for:
All technicalities qualify:
Donkey meat
the Booty
Cannibalism (of the flank?)
...?
bought Ṁ5 Days in Antarctica NO10mo
@shankypanky Pat is welcome to add anything related to this market to the prop bets lol
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.