Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?
Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?
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While researching further out data for Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?19% and Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?22% , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?
The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:
Eastern and South-Eastern Asia is projected to reach a maximum population size of 2.4 billion around 2034 and the population of Central and Southern Asia is projected to peak some 38 years later at 2.7 billion around 2072.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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