Will Noah Lyles break either the 100m or 200mworld record before or during the Los Angeles Olympics.
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13
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2028
10%
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https://www.outsideonline.com/health/running/racing/noah-lyles-wants-world-record/

100m

WR- 9.58 seconds

Lyles' PB - 9.83 seconds

200m

WR- 19.19 seconds

Lyles' PB - 19.31 seconds

Will resolve if he breaks the world record or at the closing ceremony of the LA Olympics.

If another sprinter breaks the world records they will be updated - Lyles must set an official world record for this to resolve yes.

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Buying yes based on Lyles' extreme top speed (as opposed to his start), and Bolt's own opinions regarding the 200m being an easier record to beat than the 100m. I think Lyles has virtually no shot to beat 9.58, but a relatively solid shot to beat 19.19.