Will Ursula von der Leyen (President of the European Commission) be arrested and convicted for fraud during the COVID?
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Jan 1
5%
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This is to be determined after she concludes her mandate on October 31, 2024.

I will close this question on January 1, 2025.

If by that date there is no action taken in this regard, then I will conclude that Ursula will NOT be arrested. However, if by that date there are actions taken by authorities, at least to investigate the events during the COVID-19 pandemic, with Ursula directly implicated in accusations, I will consider that YES she will be arrested.


This question specifically pertains to fraudulent activities related to the procurement of COVID-19 vaccines. Additionally, any other frauds during the pandemic that are associated with or connected to the pandemic will be taken into consideration.

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predicts NO

It's a little weird that the title says "arrested and convicted" while the description just says that an investigation being started is enough. So if there's an investigation and she's found innocent, this still resolves YES?

@Pazzaz
Yes, it's a bit ambiguous. However, I don't want the timeframe for this question to be over 10 years, so if I perceive that the investigations are heading in a direction where she will be arrested and found guilty, then I will choose the answer "yes." I will decide at that time which option seems more reasonable.