Thanks to @Fion for creating many other markets in this series.
This refers to the next general election to take place electing representatives to the UK parliament.
Please submit answers in the form of a political party, not an individual. If you wish to submit an individual who will run as an independent, please submit your answer in the form: "Independent: [person's name]". If anybody submits "Independent" as an answer, it will not resolve YES, even if an independent wins.
"Labour" and "Labour and Co-operative" will be treated interchangeably.
I may bet in this market.
For an up to date list of which constituencies there exist markets in this series for to see which ones still need to be created, see the description here: https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-we-create-a-market-for-every-s?r=Rmlvbg
Alternatively, if you want to support this endeavour, you can simply managram @Fion money.
1,000
1.00New Survation poll of Clacton shows 42% Reform to 27% Tory. Looking more and more like a sure thing.
https://x.com/Survation/status/1803438162468807155?t=XwpP_f2wXSNxXeifozDqUA&s=19
Nigel Farage to run as Reform UK candidate in Clacton
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3gg66pm8ylo
Are his odds actually that good though?
Farage is threatening to stand in Clacton which probably makes this one a bit more interesting. He’s a seven time loser but even if he doesn’t win he’ll split the Conservative vote. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12960237/Nigel-Farages-Reform-UK-draws-hit-list-ten-Conservative-MPs-defect-General-Election.html