Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI? | Manifold

Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI?

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9

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2030

25%

chance

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1M

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Will resolve to a separate poll when there is major news source consensus that human-level AGI has been achieved. I'll keep extending it until then if 2030 isn't enough time.

Should have both high impact and wide adoption, so e.g. immortality just for super rich wouldn't count, but room temperature ambient pressure superconductivity in every device would.

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I'm not really sure we'll have either for a fairly long time, to be completely honest.

As in imminent human extinction?

No, as in I think that we're still pretty far from true AGI and also that the Internet and TV were some of the most influential inventions in human history.

Fair enough

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