Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2028?

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will an AI be able to play a type of video game that it wasn't trained on before 2026?

Will $10,000 worth of AI hardware be able to train a GPT-3 equivalent model in under 1 hour, by EOY 2027?

Will it cost less than 100k USD to train and run a language model that outperforms GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks by the end 2024?

Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?

Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?

Will an AI system similar to Auto-GPT make a successful attempt to kill a human by 2030?

Will a GPT-4 level system be trained for <$1mm by 2030?