Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?

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Ṁ5824

2026

16%

chance

ALL

Criteria for Resolution:

1. Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI.

2. Confirmation of Intent:

- The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.

- This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.

3. Nature of the Operation:

- The operation must involve direct terrorist actions, such as strikes, sabotage, or cyber-attacks targeting OpenAI research facilities, data centers, or key infrastructure related to AI development.

- Operations solely involving espionage, intelligence gathering, or sanctions do not qualify. There must be at least one OpenAI employee death to qualify.

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4 Comments

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Overton window creaks wider

What kind of strikes are you imagining? I fail to see how strikes can result in a "terrorist attack" as defined by this market. This is what a strike means to me: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strike_action

Strike has multiple meanings. Another meaning is to attack.

To clarify the last point- "OpenAI employee" I am loose with this, basically anyone sourcing their salary from them. IE a security guard who's technically an outsourced contractor but still effectively an employee of theirs.

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