In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?
➕
Plus
24
Ṁ856
2034
15%
chance

Right now the average price of energy in the USA is 16.1 c/kWh, so for this market to resolve "Yes", the cost of electricity would need to be below 1.61 c/kWh adjusted for inflation back to 2024 dollars.

Planning to use this site as the authority for resolution, provided it still exists in 10 years.

https://www.energybot.com/electricity-rates/

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

If machines can create significantly more value with the same unit of energy, then the cost of energy will likely go up. Unless energy supply grows equally or faster to meet the growth in demand

bought Ṁ30 NO

If the supply of money increases to match economic growth, then the inflation-adjusted cost of energy might go down. But all indicators seem to be pointing in the opposite direction this decade.

Economic growth is likely going to become bottlenecked by energy, which means higher inflation-adjusted energy prices.

The only way I see it going down in that time frame is massive buildout of power generation coupled with a devastating economic recession, which seems somewhat counterintuitive