The Ministry for the Future Predictions: Will a Drone Swarm Assassinate a Public Figure by 2040?
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Inspired by the Kim Stanley Robinson novel "The Ministry for the Future". Robinson describes drone swarms as follows:

"They were more powerful than the atomic bomb, in this very particular sense: you could use them. And they couldn’t be stopped ... They were small, they launched from mobile launchers, they came from all directions in a coordinated attack in which they only congregated at their target in the last few second of their flights."

They are a menace to anybody with name recognition in the book. Will this become reality?

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How much would constitute a swarm? I'm assuming 1 would not be a swarm, but what about like, 3? 5?