Any future positions that he makes after this market is created do not count. The positions that qualify are:
Manifold Love not reaching 1000 users by Valentine's Day
Taylor swiftly makes her way to the Super Bowl
Barack Obama will not be the next Harvard president
Instant deepfakes of anyone by EOY
kenshin9000 did not beat all chess engines with GPT-4
There are a few markets with >5k invested across different positions, but I'm only looking for positions that are worth that much. If any of these predictions do not come true, this market resolves Yes. If none of them have resolved against them by December 31st, this market resolves No. This market does not take into account whether they sells their positions between now and the end of the year. If a market does not resolve by year's end, this will not change the market: I only care if a market has resolved against their position by year's end.
1,000
1.00