Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
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100
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2033
9%
chance

Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh

Any of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery.

Source for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/

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The question is kind of "do you think it will work" because if it does the Nobel prize is a 99.9999% and the only reason I don't say 100% is because of quantum fluctuation.

Heisenberg's quantum uncertainty principle and all.

predicts NO

Focus specifically on troublemaker Young-Wan here