Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
Mini
8
Ṁ1302075
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if a nuclear weapon is fired in anger before 23:59 GMT December 31 2074.
'Fired in anger' means intentionally fired on an enemy for the purpose of damaging them.
Does not include accidental firings.
Does include mutinous firings.
Does incude failed strikes (i.e. missile is intercepted/shot down/misses target or fails to detonate due to technical fault)
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
16% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
20% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
1% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
39% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?
19% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
30% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
14% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?
20% chance