
In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot
Plus
28
Ṁ43602034
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.6%
2024
6%
2025
29%
2026
6%
>2030
58%
Resolution Clarifications:
Product rename does not change the outcome, i.e. the bot's name does not need to be "Optimus" for a positive resolution of a specific year
"Other" = Cancellation of the Optimus Program, Insolvency, Significant Change of Design (Humanoid -> 4-legged does not count, humanoid -> 6DoF Arm counts as "Other")
Mass production indicators:
first deliveries
explicit communication of mass production start
announcement of a number of produced "Optimus" Bots that is > x
Get
1,000and
1.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
12% chance
Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
What year will the 1,000,000th Tesla Optimus Humanoid Robot be built?
In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?
How much would the Tesla Optimus Robot cost to buy if it went into production?
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
14% chance
When will Tesla bots be commercially available?
Will the Tesla Bot be available by 2028?
34% chance
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
79% chance
Will Tesla have robots for sale by the end of 2025?
3% chance