Which AI will be the first to space? OpenAI?

Plus

Ṁ779

Dec 2

ALL

43%

Grok (X)

15%

Chatgpt (OpenAI)

1.4%

Gemini (Google)

1.3%

Claude (Anthropic)

1.5%

Llama (Facebook)

Watson (IBM)

1.7%

TBD (Palantir)

21%

Open Source Model

12%Other

hardware specifically sent to space with a human terminal (voice/text)

Get

1,000

and

1.00

3 Comments

20 Holders

51 Trades

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Can’t figure out how to add an option. Chinese model will have to be other (not familiar with companies personally)

Adding china model, apologies if I’m violating norms. Meant to add it when I created second ai to space market

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Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

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