After Mike Pence refused to participate in Donald Trump's plan to overturn the official results of the 2020 election, Trump became furious at Pence and considered him a traitor. JD Vance was reportedly selected on the basis of loyalty to Trump, despite having harshly criticized him in the past.
Resolves YES if Trump denounces Vance as disloyal by the end of 2029, and NO otherwise. (The resolution condition is solely based on Trump's own stated opinions.)
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1.00Trump’s #1 priority when picking VP was loyalty, for obvious reasons. I think it’s possible but absolutely a longshot
@Merge Fruit Discuss the concept of loyalty in political relationships, specifically how it has played a role in Donald Trump's selection of political allies, including JD Vance.
More of the reference to the new age Bible where Rooster crows 3 times before Vance betrays the Trump and Pelosi betrays the Biden.
Vance is either the nominee to replace Trump after his second term or he isn't. If he isn't, it has to be because Trump found him to be unworthy and would likely say something that would resolve this as yes. If he is the nominee, there's a good chance he loses the general election and Trump finds an excuse to distance himself from Vance's failure.
The main paths to Vance escaping Trump's wrath are him winning in 2028 or Trump dying in office.
Of course. This is a man who turned on his own Secretary of the Hook: https://clickhole.com/white-house-in-turmoil-trump-just-fired-the-cloaked-ma-1825122037/
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00