Will a fourth film receive a CinemaScore of D+ or worse in 2024?

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Ṁ797

Jan 1

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Context

In the past two months, three movies have received a CinemaScore of D+ or worse:

"Borderlands": D+
"Megalopolis": D+
"Joker: Folie à Deux": D

Scores this bad are rare! CinemaScore usually surveys movies in wide release, which are generally meant to be "audience friendly".

Resolution

This market resolves YES if another movie released in 2024 receives a CinemaScore of D+, D, D-, or F, and NO otherwise.

It only counts if it's viewable on the CinemaScore website, and the release timing is determined by "when the score is posted on the site".

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#Hollywood

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So there’s films that I think will be bad (Red One, maybe Venom 3), but I think that badness is priced in. You need something that’s surprisingly bad to get a Cinemascore that low.

While I don’t think we’ll get another one in 2024, if we do, I feel like it’s going to be Wicked…

@mattyb agreed. only thing i'd add is that while this year was an outlier, normally the lowest cinemascores are dominated by random horror movies (often kinda forgettable ones). glancing at the release calendar i don't see a ton of likely ones (& usually those wouldn't release in oct-dec), but easy to miss. Terrifier 3? (not sure if that will play in enough theaters to get polled).

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