Will "A Minecraft Movie" gross >$80 million during its domestic opening weekend?
Will "A Minecraft Movie" gross >$80 million during its domestic opening weekend?
28
Ṁ17kresolved Apr 8
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Source: The "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo for "A Minecraft Movie" (2025).
I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined (e.g. typically the 3-day FSS weekend + previews).
For example, the "Domestic Opening" for the "Captain America: Winter Solider" was $95,023,721. This is the equivalent number I will use.
This market will close early.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,102 | |
| 2 | Ṁ139 | |
| 3 | Ṁ125 | |
| 4 | Ṁ31 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 YES7d
i assume it'll crush 80m so added an updated market for 100m:
Will "A Minecraft Movie" gross >$100 million during its domestic opening weekend?YES
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will the Minecraft movie get over 50% on Rotten Tomatoes?
3% chance
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' outperform 'Sonic 3' at the worldwide box office?
99% chance
Will the Minecraft movie get over 55% on Rotten Tomatoes?
1% chance
Will the upcoming Minecraft movie get over a 6.0 on IMDB?
18% chance
Will the Minecraft movie get over 45% on Rotten Tomatoes?
98% chance
Will the upcoming Minecraft movie get over 65% on Rotten Tomatoes?
1% chance
Will the upcoming Minecraft movie make over a billion dollars at the worldwide box office?
64% chance
Will the Minecraft movie make over 400 million dollars at the US box office?
88% chance
What will be true of the Minecraft movie?