Will this stegosaurus (dinosaur) skeleton sell for >$10 million at its upcoming Christie's auction?
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Dec 12
53%
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Auction link: Jurassic Icons: STEGOSAURUS

The pre-auction estimate is 3 million - 5 million GBP (i.e. 3.81 million - 6.35 million USD at current conversion rates). This market resolves YES if the final sale price listed on the Christie's website is >10 million USD.

Resolution details

  • Example from a past auction: this T-Rex had a "price realised" of USD 31,847,500. This is the equivalent number I will use—whatever is displayed by the auction page.

  • Note that the final listed sale price typically includes the buyer's premium (and potentially other fees).

  • If the lot is not put up for bidding at the auction for any reason, this market resolves N/A. If it is bid on at the auction, but does not ultimately sell, it resolves NO.

  • The sale price may be reported in GBP. I will use the Yahoo currency converter on the day I resolve the market.

Details

In the annals of palaeontology, the Stegosaurus stands as the iconic symbol of the Jurassic. Roaming 157-145 million years ago, a member of the clade of armoured dinosaurs (thyreophorans) known as Stegosauria, the dinosaur is instantly recognisable by its distinct two rows of dorsal plates that adorn its arched back and four menacing terminal spikes that punch-mark its tail. These unique features have perplexed palaeontologists over the last centuries and remain an enigmatic and scientifically disputed footmark on the physiological understanding of the species. However, these exclusive attributes have established the Stegosaurus as one of, if not the, most recognisable dinosaurs. (Lot essay)

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reposted

Title says 10MM but description says 7.5MM -- which did you intend?

@diracdeltafunk ah sorry the title is correct! fixed now.

@Ziddletwix thanks!

reposted

Normally I stick close to the pre-auction estimates and I have no clue how dino auctions work but given that this summer's stegosaurus auction had a similar starting estimate range and then sold for $44.6M to Ken Griffin, so I set a more ambitious starting threshold in case that buzz keeps up.