AI will generate coherent 5-min films by the end of 2024
➕
Plus
18
Ṁ6744
Dec 31
15%
chance

Set criteria:

  • Must be coherent

  • Must have coherent scenes and plot/plots/themes

  • Script may be provided separately, but must be AI generated

  • May resolve early

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Ṁ1,000
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bought Ṁ10 YES

i feel like this is 30% likely this year, depending on how fast SORA 2 is created. i’m not enormously confident though because this is very much lab prio dependent.

predicts NO

@firstuserhere will you accept systems that generate coherent 5-min films by splicing together many brief clips made with particular prompts (e.g., ChatGPT creates those prompts, which together have a reasonable narrative, but the videos themselves are of the type available today)? Or does it need to have normal length shots and scenes?