Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?

Will Transformer based architectures still be SOTA for language modelling by 2026?

Will any language model trained without large number arithmetic be able to generalize to large number arithmetic by 2026?

Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?

End of pre-training era for language models: Will an LM fine-tune for more FLOPs than it is pre-trained for, before 2026

Will software-side AI scaling appear to be suddenly discontinuous before 2025?

Will any 10 trillion+ parameter language model that follows instructions be released to the public before 2026?

Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?