Impact of AI: Will the number of lawyers in the U.S. decrease by 2030?
Mini
7
Ṁ1582030
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The number of lawyers in the US has been growing at a faster rate than the overall population:
However, in 2020, 2021, and 2022, and for the first time in 100 years, the number of active lawyers in the US decreased. From 2022 to 2023, the number of active lawyers rose slightly (+0.3%). Morever, artificial intelligence might negatively impact lawyers and slow their growth.
Will the number of active lawyers in the US be lower in 2030 than in 2023 (the latest available year)?
The question will be resolved using the American Bar Association (ABA) 2030 National Lawyer Population Survey. In 2023, there were 1,331,290 active lawyers in the US.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will some U.S. lawyers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
28% chance
Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?
50% chance
Will some U.S. software engineers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
65% chance
Will I start using a non-LLM AI tool on a daily basis before 2025?
65% chance
Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?
22% chance
Will there be mass layoffs of knowledge workers as a direct result of AI by 2030?
68% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
19% chance
Will there be 10% fewer lawyers in May 2025 (compared to May 2023)?
39% chance
Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?
4% chance
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
20% chance