Will GPT-5 win Bronze or better at IMO 2025?
Plus
34
Ṁ11k2025
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
GPT-5 with scaffolding or access to tools counts as long as GPT-5 is making real decisions.
Resolves No if GPT-5 doesn’t score Bronze or higher, or if it does not does not exist by then, or nobody makes an IMO attempt by the end of August 2025
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
3% chance
GPT-5 by 2025?
8% chance
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
80% chance
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
68% chance
Will I make IMO 2025?
94% chance
Will GPT-5 perform better than o1 (not preview) at AIME 2024, Codeforces elo, GPQA, or the 2024 ioi?
63% chance
Will GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
23% chance
What years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Will GPT-5 qualify for the USAMO?
32% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
76% chance