Will the Inflation Reduction Act be repealed in 2025?
Will the Inflation Reduction Act be repealed in 2025?
Plus
7
Ṁ15452026
13%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the majority of the allocated funds are repealed
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bought Ṁ1,000 NO2mo
ChatGPT o1 says that ~60% of the benefits go to red areas. “Quantifying exactly how much of the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) economic benefit will flow to “red” (Republican-leaning) versus “blue” (Democratic-leaning) areas is imprecise at this early stage. However, based on publicly announced manufacturing and energy-project investments—especially in battery and EV plants, solar manufacturing, and hydrogen/carbon-capture facilities—a reasonable estimate is that around 60% (give or take 5–10 percentage points) of the direct investment is going into Republican-voting states or counties.”
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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