MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?
Mini
10
Ṁ678
2050
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
#AI
#️ Technology
#Technical AI Timelines
#️ X (Twitter)
#Science
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:

What is a "working thermo-chip"? Working as in... it does something? Or working as in... it's as promised a chip that can do GPU-y things while operating at substantially lower energy/cost/whatever?

Related questions

Will Extropic AI ship functional chips to customers by December 31st 2025?
-40% 1d47% chance
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
19% chance
When will Extropic AI ship a product?
Will the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?
20% chance
Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Extropic be found to be fraudulent by 2026?
-15% 1d26% chance
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
-12% 1d6% chance
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
40% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
17% chance

Related questions

Will Extropic AI ship functional chips to customers by December 31st 2025?
47% chance
Will Extropic be found to be fraudulent by 2026?
26% chance
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
19% chance
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
6% chance
When will Extropic AI ship a product?
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
40% chance
Will the Groq chip inspire Nvidia/AMD to produce radically new AI chips before 2026?
20% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
17% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout