If I see Scott at Solstice, I'll try to seek clarification. Otherwise I'll just go ahead and resolve anyway

I intend to resolve "Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank" unless convinced otherwise

I don't understand why Israel getting out is still trading so high

"Permanently occupy" and "Install a puppet government" aren't mutually exclusive? How does this resolve if there's a puppet government with an occupation propping it up?

@UnspecifiedPerson looks like it can be resolved to multiple answers

Any sign of Israel leaving anytime soon?

"the Gaza story is over. The Israelis won’t leave it to Hamas ever again. They learned this lesson on October 7. From now on they will keep close tabs on it and will remain boots on the ground indefinitely."

I think July is a bit too early to resolve this.

@Daniel_MC I know I said close may be extended, but I don't want to keep extending it indefinitely, because it is medium term, not long term.

How do you plan to handle claims that the plan was A bit unexpected events led to B? Would you rely on claims about the initial plan from Israeli officials? Expert analysis?

@0482 I'll go with what actually ends up happening.

Does that option imply Hamas is still in charge and remain significant military capabilities?

The analogy to the West Bank means there must be civilian settlements for this to be resolved as YES? Otherwise it's more like the historic South Lebanon situation

Passing control to the Palestinian National Authority - is it "puppet government" or "other"?

I think this will be really tough to resolve and I will not invest more than a little gambling money here.

Here is my try:
/marketwise/will-israel-occupy-gaza-in-april
/marketwise/will-israel-withdraw-again-from-gaz