Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?
Mini
11
Ṁ3522050
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count. English Wikipedia, mainspace.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?
7% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?
64% chance
Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?
72% chance
Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?
18% chance
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
15% chance
Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100?
60% chance
Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?
33% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
45% chance
will research with at least 50% AI generated content win the Nobel Prize by 2030?
22% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
77% chance