Will Manifold solve my puzzle?
145
Ṁ120k
Dec 31
52%
chance

The solution to the puzzle is a sequence of five letters.

Let's say you're submitting an answer on November 5th, and you wanted to submit "XABDU" as your solution, you would write a comment: "11/5/25: XABDU".

Please do not try to brute-force this. Each user gets one guess per calendar day, I'm not going to check every single time stamp diligently so don't abuse this rule or I will block you from the market and be sad.

I will check the market once per day (don't worry if I forget or skip a day, I'm human) at a random-ish time. If the value of the market is below 50%, I will give a single hint, which I will compile in the description over time. If the value of the market is above 50% (inclusive), I will not give a hint.

I think this puzzle will be hard. The more time that passes without hints, the less likely you will be to solve it. I anticipate that you will need at least ten hints to solve it, possibly far more. You might need to collaborate. You have until the end of the year!

11/3 Hint 1: Portugal

11/4 Hint 2: harbor

11/5 no hint today

11/6 no hint today

11/7 no hint today

11/8 no hint today

11/9 no hint today

11/10 no hint today

11/11 no hint today

11/12 Hint 3: Nazareth

11/13 no hint today

11/14 no hint today

11/15 Hint 4: [VPP]

11/16 Hint 5: 9gag

11/17 no hint today

11/18 Hint 6: [O-MBRV]

11/19 no hint today

11/20 no hint today

11/21 Hint 7: herring

11/22 Hint 8: [L-MBRV]

11/23 Hint 9: Setúbal

11/24 no hint today

11/25 no hint today

11/26 no hint today

11/27 no hint today

11/28 no hint today

11/29 no hint today

11/30 no hint today

12/1 no hint today (but it is my birthday 🥳, that's not a hint)

12/2 no hint today

12/3 no hint today

12/4 no hint today

12/5 no hint today

12/6 no hint today

12/7 no hint today

12/8 no hint today

12/9 no hint today

12/10 no hint today

12/11 no hint today

12/12 no hint today

12/13 no hint today


EVERYTHING BELOW THIS LINE IS AI SUMMARY GIBBERISH


  • The creator will not reply to every guess. If there is no reply to a guess, assume it is not correct.

  • Incorrect guesses will be acknowledged with a like from the creator (rather than a written reply). If there is no response to a guess, assume it is incorrect.

  • If no one guesses the correct solution by the market close date (midnight on 2025-12-31), the market will resolve NO.

  • The market can resolve YES immediately upon a correct guess being seen by the creator, prior to the market close date.

  • The solution must consist of five letters from the English alphabet (the 26 standard letters A-Z). Non-English characters are not valid.

  • Guesses containing non-English alphabet characters (such as accented letters like Í, Ó, etc.) will be treated as their unaccented English equivalents (e.g., SÍTIO will be treated as SITIO).

  • The creator will not trade on this market.

  • All guesses must include a date in the submission. The format can be flexible as long as it's legible. This is to avoid ambiguity about which comment constitutes a user's daily guess.

  • Guesses will not be invalidated based on timezone differences between the guesser and the creator. Users may use their local timezone when dating their guesses.

  • If the creator misses announcing a hint/no-hint on a given day, they will apply that day's result (based on whether the market was below/above 50%) the morning after they next check the market, rather than skipping that day entirely.

Get
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Sort by:
bought Ṁ15 YES

14/12/2025 PORTU

12/14/25: MOOPS

13/12/2025: FRITO

13/12/2025: STORE

12/13/25: BLANK

PVVPL - 12/13

[Deleted]

@IsaacKing no, people are going to modulate the market price such that this is the chance we get enough hints before market close to get it

Oh my god I can't read, I missed that paragraph in the description.

12/14/25: XPIRE

@NayutaIto I don't know why but most of the walls have disappeared.

@NayutaIto Collusion, collaboration, or coincidence.

@NayutaIto 5000 mana at 50% is a huge wall

@1bets It might not be as strong as you think.


As the number of days dwindle, and the obscurity of the hints remains the same, the chances this resolves No continue to increase!

12/13: PUZZL

12/13: SNAKE

12/13: CHILE

No hint today ;(

Should we have a hint today?

12/13/25: MAKRO

I wanted to make the following joke but I was worried ppl would take me seriously:

oh by the way I forgot to mention: the answer to the puzzle will be resolved via poll

12/13: VOLTA

12/13: HINTY

filled a Ṁ1,000 YES at 51% order

12/13/25: SAUCE

12/13/25: MBARI