Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?
Will the next Congress repeal or substantially amend the Height Act?
Plus
13
Ṁ7052027
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See this Matt Yglesias tweet for reference:
https://x.com/mattyglesias/status/1829536404357234843?s=46&t=62uT9IruD1-YP-SHFkVEPg
The Height of Buildings Act affects the maximum height of buildings in DC. DC, being not-a-state, requires acts of congress to address this.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Height_of_Buildings_Act_of_1910
This resolves YES if by the end of the NEXT CONGRESS (thru Jan 3 2027), the Height Act is repealed or substantially (I will be the judge of substantially) amended.
This also resolves YES if it happens THIS congress!
I will not bet in this market.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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