How will I do on USAJMO?
How will I do on USAJMO?
20
Ṁ85622026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
71%
Top Winner or MOP (Approx top 12)
24%
Winner (no MOP)
4%
HM
1%
Nothing
35 predicted
Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarified Outcome Categories:
Winner with no MOP
Winner with MOP
Top Winner with MOP
Note: The term winner honors is treated the same as the above categories.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@JonathanHe Lol, i put categories for if I'm a winner with no mop, or if I'm a winner with mop, or I'm a top winner with mop. but winner honors same thing
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
How will I do on JMO 2025
Will I be able to get Honors/Winner (top 20%) on the 2025 USAJMO?
62% chance
Will my USAMO score be higher than David's USAJMO score?
3% chance
Honors cutoff USAJMO 2025?
Will I make the USAMO in the 2025-2026 season?
23% chance
Will I get Honorable Mention on USAJMO 2025?
69% chance
Will I make USAMO this year?
19% chance
Will I get into USAMO?
17% chance
Will I get at least an HM on the 2024 USAMO?
61% chance