Resolves YES iff the social media ban for under 16 year olds in Australia implemented in December 2025 is no longer law at any point from January 1st to December 31st 2026 according to consensus of credible reporting.
Update 2025-12-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional resolution criteria:
Changes to the list of banned sites will not count as YES unless only one or fewer sites remain restricted (currently ten sites are restricted)
Decreases to the age limit count as YES only if reduced by at least two years
If the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES
Changes must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced
Introduction of a parental consent exemption would count as YES
1,000
1.00@traders Adding some clarifications to the rules:
Changes to the list of banned sites will not suffice for YES as long as at least two sites remain restricted (if only one site is restricted, that counts for yes, since that’s not really a ‘social media’ ban). Currently ten sites are restricted.
Decreases to the age limit would count as long as it is by at least two years. This is a meaningfully different policy in my view since those most affected by the ban would be older teens.
If the law is rendered constitutionally invalid by a successful High Court challenge, this counts as YES
Changes must take legal effect at any point in 2026 for YES, not merely announced
Introduction of a parental consent exemption would count as YES (this is a distinctive feature of the current policy)
Will add any clarifications as needed. For context the ban is being challenged in the High Court by two 15 year olds. Tbf I’d be mad too if I were them
