Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Plus

Ṁ18k

Nov 6

ALL

69%

Andrew Cuomo

18%

Zohran Mamdani

Brad Lander

Scott Stringer

1.9%

Eric Adams

1.3%

Other

1.1%

Zellnor Myrie

New York City will hold mayoral elections on 4 November 2025. Eric Adams won the 2021 mayoral election, and is eligible to run again in 2025, but appears likely to face a contested primary.

This question resolves YES to the named individual who wins NYC's mayoral election in 2025, and NO to everyone else.

Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

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