Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
Plus
16
Ṁ3792030
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Abkhazia and South Ossetia are two partially recognized states that have been occupied by Russian forces since the Russo-Georgian War of 2008.
Will Russia annex either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030?
See also:
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
@mattyb This question is not conditional. If Russia annexes either Abkhazia or South Ossetia before 2030, under Putin or any other leader, it resolves YES, otherwise resolves NO 1 Jan 2030.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
48% chance
Will there be a second Russia-Georgia war by 2030?
27% chance
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2030?
20% chance
Will territory change hands between Georgia (in the Caucasus) and separatists/Russia before Sep 2026
34% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?
29% chance
Will Russia annex Belarus until 2025?
5% chance
Will China annex any portion of Russia/Siberia by 2035?
20% chance
Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2024?
1% chance