Which probability option would you choose?
18
Never closes
50% for A, 50% for B
90% for A, and 10% for B
There are 100 people total. 30 of them are from group A, 70 are from group B. And group A and B are things you cannot switched in-between from.
There are two sets of probability of death for individuals in the groups:
50% for A, 50% for B
90% for A, 10% for B
You are from one of the groups, but you don’t know which group you belong to. There are equal probability for you to belong to A or B. Would you choose option 1, or option 2?
(My vote is unintentional/accident; I do not plan to vote any of the polls in this series.)
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