Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
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18%
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Resolves YES if they die before inauguration.

If they die before inauguration, they aren't the next President, so this wouldn't resolve yet.

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With Joe Biden out, this market should probably shift

Clarification requested: is resignation followed by death within original term of office a Yes or a No?

@patio11 I would resolve that as NO

Would appreciate if someone brought in the survival statistics conditional on age, income, etc