Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: Yes! Okay. No breakup, no engagement. “A high-profile television presenter may lose their job in the new year.” (Sighs heavily.) Okay. Okay.
Ross Blocher: Okaaay. I’m trying to think how frequently we’ve seen that in the previous years, because it happens.
Carrie Poppy: I would count it if it happens.
[00:45:00]
I’m mostly annoyed by the word “may”. You’re making a prediction here. I knew that they may. Ugh.
Ross Blocher: Yeah. I mean, the wiggle words. It just comes so naturally. I mean, there’s been so many recently. Like Don Lemon or Tucker Carlson or Chris Cuomo. Like, it feels like it’s a constant thing. So, even having to use the hedge word “may” feels weak to me, but okay.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
1.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.