Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/
Carrie Poppy: Okay. I’ll say Elon Musk—is he currently married or engaged? No, right? I think?
(Ross sighs uncertainly.)
Elon Musk—
Ross Blocher: He has kids.
Carrie Poppy: He dated Amber Heard?! Woah. That’s quite a connection.
Ross Blocher: Did he?! Wow. From Johnny Depp to Elon Musk—or vice versa.
Carrie Poppy: Uh, yeah, 2015 to 2017. 11 kids?! Holy shit. Okay, well, then my guess continues to be good. It’s going to be Elon Musk gets engaged or married.
Ross Blocher: He has 11 kids?! What?!
Carrie Poppy: I guess so. That’s what it says on his Wikipedia. I mean, he’s had three spouses. Oh, no, wait. He’s had three marriages to two spouses.
I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)
With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:
1,000
1.00@traders my resolution criteria for this market failed to account for the possibility that we wouldn't get ratings from Ross and Carrie, but with the podcast having ended that now seems pretty likely. Please vote in this poll to let me know if you'd prefer me to use my judgement instead, or just resolve this market N/A.
Either way, I will not trade in this market.