Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: Then there was Paula Roberts. Did you see this? This was a tarot card reader who ended up on Fox News.

Ross Blocher: YES! Oh my goodness, that was fun.

Carrie Poppy: Yeah, tell us, tell us.

Ross Blocher: So, you had the host, Jesse Watters—a ridiculous person in general—on Fox News, and he brought in a psychic. Sure, why not? To pull just one tarot card for Trump in the coming year. And it was just so funny, ‘cause you have the camera on her as she gets the assignment. And you know, she looks like your standard, White woman psychic. Probably in her 70s. Very nice wig she’s got going on here. Lots of necklaces.

Carrie Poppy: Definite Sylvia Browne kind of vibe. Mm-hm.

Ross Blocher: Yes, there you go. Think Sylvia Browne, just a variation on that theme. And then they cut to an overhead shot as she turns over one card that she picks out of the deck. And it’s the death card.

(Carrie laughs.)

It’s this guy in this long, black robe looking solitary and intimidating on a green field. They’re like, “This is Trump. Here’s a man in a black cowl, facing away from you.”

Carrie Poppy: And she has two options now. One is Trump dies, and two is Trump loses the election. And she’s on Fox News, so she can’t say either of those.

Ross Blocher: But there’s always a nice, easy way to spin it. And so, she has some spin.

Clip:

Jesse Watters: Paula Roberts is the English psychic who is on set to give us a reading right now. I would like, Paula, for you to give me a reading on President Trump.

Paula Roberts: Just the one card?

Jesse: One card.

Paula: One card. Let’s do just one card. We like that one.

Jesse: U-uh-oh.

Paula: Oh, oh, oh! Oh!

(They laugh awkwardly.)

Jesse: What is that?

Paula: I mean, I do recognize that I’m at Fox TV. (Laughing.) I have a sense of loss, a sense of loss. But it’s very specific.

(Jesse sighs.)

No, no, let—let me move on. It’s a sense of loss. It’s as if, um, he may be thinking more about what he’s lost and not still taking full advantage of what he still has.

Jesse: That’s a great interpretation, Paula.

Paula: This is true!

(They laugh.)

It’s true, I don’t make it up!

Carrie Poppy: Really, an incredible move.

Ross Blocher: Hilarious! She played that well. And Trump is a grievance politician. He’s always focused on what he’s lost and who’s wronged him. And why he’s not responsible for it.

Carrie Poppy: That’s true. That’s true. Yeah, I guess now—yeah, you know what? So, I wrote it down in the spreadsheet as “pulled the loss card for Trump before explaining it away on Fox News”, but I’m gonna write how she interpreted it, because now if he loses, she cannot claim it.

Ross Blocher: Yeah, though—as we know—of course, if he loses, she will easily take credit for that.

Carrie Poppy: Of cooourse! But because she was clearly steering to this interpretation, and explicitly so, I’m gonna accept that interpretation.

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets: