1,000
1.00@cloudprism Great market and thanks for turning my meme in the #memefold discord into a discussion topic here.
My official prediction is that OpenAI launches a system of interlinked spinoffs and keeps "OpenAI" as sort of a stem or core brand, and doesn't rebrand before the end date (2040). In other words, my prediction is "N/A".
I encourage you to see if you can add a bit more resolution criteria and flesh out your question!
@duck_master Clever answer, but please do not do this on open-ended markets, as it kind of defeats the purpose of them!
@BrendanFinan What do you mean? This is just a really unlikely answer. I doubt OpenAI will rebrand to "Something not mentioned at market close," since that doesn't even have AI in it! /s
@ShadowyZephyr I'm saying that I think that this is an ambiguously correct answer that would kind of end the market if it was chosen. I want to buy M$1000 of this answer, but I also want to keep this discussion going, as it's a topic I'm interested in.
@BrendanFinan I know I'm just kidding. I think with markets like this every answer should be taken as that literal string though instead of actually interpreting the words, to avoid situations like this. That way the only way it could resolve YES is if OpenAI's new name was literally "Something not mentioned at market close" that string verbatim
@AlexbGoode My favorite answer here, but probably not what the market will resolve to, due to the lack of resolution criteria ("resocriteria"). "Microsoft AI" kind of already exists as a concept, and another edition of this would be a spinoff.
This is kind of a "Ship of Theseus" problem here - OpenAI will continue existing until AGI, but its nature will change
@BrendanFinan No, it was because ai.com redirects to ChatGPT. Although I think their name would just be like "AI Hub" or "AI Center" or something similar rather than ai.com